The Numbers Game: Cameron Beaubier vs. Toni Elias

Who has the better numbers in the MotoAmerica Superbike Championship – Cameron Beaubier or Toni Elias? Photos by Brian J. Nelson

It’s the off-season. So what’s a man with an iPhone supposed to do other than wear out his Instagram account? Well how about use the calculator to calculate interesting things as they relate to the MotoAmerica Series. It’s why they pay me the big bucks. And it’s why they gave me the biggest phone.

So, on a quiet afternoon in cloudy Southern California, I put the phone to some good use and started throwing numbers at it.

First the setup: With MotoAmerica completing its fourth year and with its four Superbike titles being won by two men, Cameron Beaubier and Toni Elias, it was deemed to be time, by me, to take a statistical look at the two riders who have not only dominated the series but who also have a nice little rivalry going. The domination comes from the fact that they’ve won the most races and championships (all of them); and the rivalry is brewed by get togethers at Road Atlanta in 2017 (the “I have long memory” race) and at Road America this year.

Put it this way, in the three years since Elias landed in Los Angeles from Spain, he and Beaubier have won 46 of the 58 MotoAmerica Superbike races. That translates to the simple fact that the Beaubier/Elias combo have won nearly 80 percent of the last 58 Superbike races.

Who is the most dominant of the two?

It depends on what you’re looking for. Winning percentage? That goes to Elias. Podium percentage? That nod goes to Beaubier.

Well, let’s get to the numbers. In his four years of MotoAmerica Superbike racing, Beaubier has 29 wins in 70 starts (he missed the final four races of 2017 due to his shoulder injury). That’s a winning percentage of .414. Elias, meanwhile, has competed in 58 MotoAmerica Superbike races and has won 25 of them. That’s a winning percentage of .431. That nod goes to Elias.

As for podiums, Beaubier has 56 of those in his 70 races for an .800 podium percentage. Elias has 45 podiums in 58 races for a .775 podium percentage. Advantage Beaubier.

In his four years of racing in the MotoAmerica Series, Beaubier has amassed 1328 championship points for an average haul of 18.9 points per race (a win pays 25 points, second is 20, third is 16…). Elias has compiled 1053 points for an average of 18.1 points per race.

What if we take away Beaubier’s first season and just add the numbers from the three both riders have competed in? Then the numbers start to slide more to the Elias camp. Remove the first season of MotoAmerica action and Beaubier has 21 wins and 41 podiums to Elias’ 25 wins and 45 podiums.

No matter how you do the math, it adds up to the same thing: these two rule the roost.

Is it too soon to start salivating about the 2019 season?